Bot for Kalshi
Getting Started
Where is Kalshi Legal? State-by-State Guide (2026)
Is Kalshi legal in your state? A guide to Kalshi's availability across the US: which states allow it, which don't, and the regulatory battles.
Research from the workbench
The Bot for Kalshi Blog
Market mechanics, operating notes, and rules you can inspect — written from the work of building and running the product.
Recently published
Latest articles
51 articles · page 3 of 5
Getting Started
Can You Bet on Oil and Gas Prices? (2026)
Yes, you can trade oil and gas prices on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange. How WTI, Brent, gasoline, and natural gas markets work and how to trade them.
Strategies
Market Teardowns
How to Trade Oil on Kalshi: WTI, Brent & Gas Markets (2026)
How to trade oil on Kalshi: WTI and Brent crude, gasoline, and natural gas. Settlement sources, the EIA/OPEC calendar, and three ways to find an edge.
Strategies
Market Teardowns
Is the Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle Dead? 4 Halvings Examined (2026)
Four Bitcoin halving observations show lower historical peak multiples, but four samples cannot establish a decay law or predict the next cycle.
Strategies
Can You Bet on Bitcoin? How Bitcoin Markets Work (2026)
How Bitcoin event contracts work, what to verify about venue eligibility, and how to paper-test an automated rule.
Strategies
Market Teardowns
Trading Economic Indicators on Kalshi (2026)
How to trade Kalshi economic markets — CPI, jobs reports, GDP, and Fed rate decisions. Nowcasting models, timing strategies, and the data that matters.
Getting Started
Kalshi for Sports Bettors: A Better Alternative
Sports bettors are switching to Kalshi for better odds, no vig, and API access for bots. Here's why — and how to make the transition.
Strategies
Rule Clinics
Kelly Criterion for Kalshi: Optimal Position Sizing
How to use the Kelly criterion to size your Kalshi trades: the math behind position sizing, practical adjustments, and why most should use half-Kelly.
Strategies
Rule Clinics
Kalshi Arbitrage: What's Real and What's a Myth
We built real Kalshi arbitrage scanners with the production fee formula: the single-market myth, the one real edge, and why there's no free money.
Strategies
Rule Clinics
Kalshi Market Making: A Liquidity Provider's Guide
How to run a market making strategy on Kalshi — posting two-sided quotes, managing inventory risk, and earning the spread in prediction markets.
Trading Bots
Operator Notes
Why Your Kalshi Bot's P&L Is Probably Wrong
Legacy Kalshi order responses can omit a usable fill price. Reconcile current count_fp and yes_price_dollars fill records to keep bot P&L accurate.
Strategies
What Broke
Why Most Kalshi Signals Are Noise: An Order-Book Check
We scanned Kalshi's live order book: most markets are too wide and thin to trade, single-market arbitrage is impossible, and the list is auto-generated.
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