Market mechanics, operating notes, and rules you can inspect — written from the work of building and running the product.
53 articles · page 3 of 5
The key signals that move Kalshi prediction markets — data sources, timing, and how to build a signal-watching system that gives you an edge.
How much does Kalshi cost? A plain-English breakdown of Kalshi's trading fee, why it peaks at 50¢, maker vs taker, and how to pay less.
Is Kalshi legal in your state? A guide to Kalshi's availability across the US: which states allow it, which don't, and the regulatory battles.
Yes, you can trade oil and gas prices on Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated exchange. How WTI, Brent, gasoline, and natural gas markets work and how to trade them.
How to trade oil on Kalshi: WTI and Brent crude, gasoline, and natural gas. Settlement sources, the EIA/OPEC calendar, and three ways to find an edge.
Four Bitcoin halving observations show lower historical peak multiples, but four samples cannot establish a decay law or predict the next cycle.
How Bitcoin event contracts work, what to verify about venue eligibility, and how to paper-test an automated rule.
How to trade Kalshi economic markets — CPI, jobs reports, GDP, and Fed rate decisions. Nowcasting models, timing strategies, and the data that matters.
Sports bettors are switching to Kalshi for better odds, no vig, and API access for bots. Here's why — and how to make the transition.
How to use the Kelly criterion to size your Kalshi trades: the math behind position sizing, practical adjustments, and why most should use half-Kelly.
We built real Kalshi arbitrage scanners with the production fee formula: the single-market myth, the one real edge, and why there's no free money.
How to run a market making strategy on Kalshi — posting two-sided quotes, managing inventory risk, and earning the spread in prediction markets.
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