Bot for Kalshi
Strategies
Can You Bet on Bitcoin? How Bitcoin Markets Work (2026)
How Bitcoin event contracts work, what to verify about venue eligibility, and how to paper-test an automated rule.
Research from the workbench
The Bot for Kalshi Blog
Market mechanics, operating notes, and rules you can inspect — written from the work of building and running the product.
Recently published
Latest articles
58 articles · page 4 of 5
Strategies
Market Teardowns
Trading Economic Indicators on Kalshi (2026)
How to trade Kalshi economic markets — CPI, jobs reports, GDP, and Fed rate decisions. Nowcasting models, timing strategies, and the data that matters.
Getting Started
Kalshi for Sports Bettors: A Better Alternative
Sports bettors are switching to Kalshi for better odds, no vig, and API access for bots. Here's why — and how to make the transition.
Strategies
Rule Clinics
Kelly Criterion for Kalshi: Optimal Position Sizing
How to use the Kelly criterion to size your Kalshi trades: the math behind position sizing, practical adjustments, and why most should use half-Kelly.
Strategies
Rule Clinics
Kalshi Arbitrage: What's Real and What's a Myth
We built real Kalshi arbitrage scanners with the production fee formula: the single-market myth, the one real edge, and why there's no free money.
Strategies
Rule Clinics
Kalshi Market Making: A Liquidity Provider's Guide
How to run a market making strategy on Kalshi — posting two-sided quotes, managing inventory risk, and earning the spread in prediction markets.
Trading Bots
Operator Notes
Why Your Kalshi Bot's P&L Is Probably Wrong
Legacy Kalshi order responses can omit a usable fill price. Reconcile current count_fp and yes_price_dollars fill records to keep bot P&L accurate.
Strategies
What Broke
Why Most Kalshi Signals Are Noise: An Order-Book Check
We scanned Kalshi's live order book: most markets are too wide and thin to trade, single-market arbitrage is impossible, and the list is auto-generated.
Trading Bots
Kalshi Copy Trading in 2026: What Actually Works
Can you copy trade on Kalshi in 2026? An honest guide to what the services actually do — and the rules-based approach that works instead.
AI & Automation
Operator Notes
Are Bots Taking Over Kalshi? What We Can Measure
Kalshi does not publish an automated-volume share. Here is what the official API proves, what public data cannot identify, and what automation changes.
Trading Bots
The Open-Source Kalshi Bot Ecosystem: 30+ Projects (2026)
A dated catalog of Kalshi bot projects: AI agents, market makers, arbitrage and weather bots — with honest notes on what each does well.
Trading Bots
What Broke
369 Paper Entries: 361 Closed, 8 Open, $0 Realized
A 369-entry Kalshi paper test ended with 361 positions closed at the simulated entry price, 8 open, and $0 realized paper P&L.
Bring a strategy. Watch it become a bot.
Join the free live build on October 27 at 6:00 PM Pacific. Bring a market and a rule, or just watch. We’ll build a draft, review the workflow, demonstrate paper mode, and answer your questions.
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