Asset-Class Specific Bots

cobra88giga / kalshi-weather-bot

★ 71 stars View on GitHub →

What it does

NWS/NOAA weather edge trading. Forecast horizon weighting (near-term 1.0, 3-day 0.75, 7-day 0.45) with regional NWS accuracy discount. Fixed $25 per position; Telegram alerts.

What we learned from it

the horizon-weighting scheme (closer forecast = more confidence) approximates the empirical accuracy decay of point forecasts. It's a simple heuristic that captures most of what a more complex Bayesian update would do.

Find the author

Related bots

Other open-source Kalshi bots in the same category:

suislanchez / polymarket-kalshi-weather-bot

★ 116

Trades Kalshi KXHIGH temperature markets plus Polymarket. Uses 31-member GFS ensemble forecasts via Open-Meteo plus BTC 5-min micr...

EddieTGH / kalshi-weather-predictor

Custom temporal transformer ensemble with XGBoost. XGBoost achieves 1.55°F MAE; the custom temporal transformer achieves 1.0°F MAE...

akshatgurbuxani / Kalshi-Weather-Forecasting-Financial-Trading

Daily climate event forecasting that maps directly into trades.

Don't want to maintain your own bot?

Bot for Kalshi is the no-code platform for automated prediction-market trading — visual builder, signals, encrypted credentials, kill switch. The infrastructure these open-source projects build, ready to use.

Start Free Trial →