OctagonAI / kalshi-deep-trading-bot
What it does
The most-starred AI-driven Kalshi bot, period. Performs deep fundamental research per market via the Octagon Research API, generates independent probability estimates, computes edge against the live order book, sizes via half-Kelly through a five-gate risk engine (Kelly + Liquidity + Correlation + Concentration + Drawdown). Supports JSON output for agent orchestration.
What we learned from it
the five-gate risk engine is a model for how serious risk management looks in this space. It's not just position sizing — it's a stack of independent constraints that all have to pass before a trade fires. Most bots that blow up have failed exactly one of those checks.
Find the author
- Repository: github.com/OctagonAI/kalshi-deep-trading-bot
- GitHub profile: @OctagonAI
- Website / blog: octagonai.co
Don't want to maintain your own bot?
Bot for Kalshi is the no-code platform for automated prediction-market trading — visual builder, signals, encrypted credentials, kill switch. The infrastructure these open-source projects build, ready to use.