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AI & LLM-Driven Bots

ryanfrigo / kalshi-ai-trading-bot

by Ryan Frigo (ryanfrigo)

What it does

Grok-4 integration with multi-agent decision-making and portfolio optimization. Uses 0.25 Kelly sizing with a category scorer that hard-blocks markets scoring below 30 out of 100.

What we learned from it

the author's honest disclosure is unusual in this space — "AI ensemble can be 80% confident and still be wrong; no edge on economic releases." That kind of upfront refusal to overclaim is rare and worth modeling.

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