Bot for Kalshi

What's moving on Kalshi today

Looking for Kalshi picks? There are none here, and that is deliberate. What this page has instead is the exchange itself: the markets traders actually traded in the last 24 hours, the ones repricing right now, and the largest single trades to cross the tape. Read straight from Kalshi's public feed and rendered into this page, so the numbers below are the numbers, not a forecast built on top of them.

Exchange data as of 1:26 AM Pacific, September 21, 2026. Cached for up to 60 seconds. Reload for the latest →

Market data, not trading advice.

Most-traded markets today

Open markets that traded at least 250 contracts in the last 24 hours, with a spread no wider than 15¢. Volume is a fact about where the crowd is, not a claim about who is right.

Kalshi publishes contract counts, not dollars, so the money column is an estimate: 24-hour contracts × the current mid price. It is an approximation — a market that moved during the day is valued here at where it ended up, not at what each fill actually paid.

Ranked by estimated dollar volume

MarketYESSpread24h contractsEst. 24h $
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Andy BeshearKXPRESNOMD-28-AB 3.6¢ 0.2¢ 388,923 $14,001
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon OssoffKXPRESNOMD-28-JOSS 16.5¢ 1.0¢ 23,659 $3,904
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — J.D. VanceKXPRESPERSON-28-JVAN 22.5¢ 1.0¢ 12,751 $2,869
2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. VanceKXPRESNOMR-28-JDV 45.5¢ 1.0¢ 5,987 $2,724
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Marco RubioKXPRESNOMR-28-MR 20.5¢ 1.0¢ 12,548 $2,572
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Tucker CarlsonKXPRESPERSON-28-TCAR 2.4¢ 0.4¢ 90,803 $2,179
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — Scott JenningsKXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-SJEN 16.5¢ 1.0¢ 12,076 $1,993
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Callum TurnerKXBOND-30-CAL 36.5¢ 3.0¢ 4,767 $1,740
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Marco RubioKXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB 9.6¢ 0.1¢ 16,986 $1,631
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — Anna KellyKXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-AKEL 18.0¢ 2.0¢ 8,495 $1,529
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Jon OssoffKXPRESPERSON-28-JOSS 11.5¢ 1.0¢ 12,697 $1,460
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gavin NewsomKXPRESNOMD-28-GN 13.5¢ 1.0¢ 9,944 $1,342

Ranked by raw contract count

The exchange's own "most traded" ordering, kept here because it is what the phrase literally means. Contracts priced near a penny can top it on count alone while representing very little money, which is why the dollar estimate leads this page.

MarketYESSpread24h contractsEst. 24h $
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Andy BeshearKXPRESNOMD-28-AB 3.6¢ 0.2¢ 388,923 $14,001
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Tucker CarlsonKXPRESPERSON-28-TCAR 2.4¢ 0.4¢ 90,803 $2,179
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Vivek RamaswamyKXPRESNOMR-28-VR 0.5¢ 0.2¢ 74,219 $371
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Brian KempKXPRESNOMR-28-BK 0.7¢ 0.3¢ 68,082 $477
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Zohran MamdaniKXPRESNOMD-28-ZMAM 0.2¢ 0.1¢ 53,392 $107
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon OssoffKXPRESNOMD-28-JOSS 16.5¢ 1.0¢ 23,659 $3,904
2028 Republican presidential nominee — Ron DeSantisKXPRESNOMR-28-RDS 4.3¢ 0.1¢ 22,235 $956
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — Maria BartiromoKXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-MBAR 6.5¢ 1.0¢ 18,321 $1,191
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Marco RubioKXPRESPERSON-28-MRUB 9.6¢ 0.1¢ 16,986 $1,631
2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Wes MooreKXPRESNOMD-28-WM 2.2¢ 0.1¢ 15,469 $340
Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary? — Elizabeth PipkoKXNEXTPRESSEC-29JAN21-EPIP 5.5¢ 1.0¢ 14,462 $795
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — J.D. VanceKXPRESPERSON-28-JVAN 22.5¢ 1.0¢ 12,751 $2,869

Biggest price moves right now

Markets whose mid price has moved at least 4¢ against Kalshi's previous quote. That is a quote-to-quote change, not a day-over-day close, and a move is a price delta — never a validated signal. Thin, wide books are filtered out because their "mid" is guesswork.

MarketWasNowChangeSpread
Prime Minister of Greece after the next election? — Maria KarystianouKXGREEKPM-27JUL25-MKAR 49.5¢ 3.5¢ -46.0¢ 5.0¢
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? — GreeceKXEUREF-30-GRE 50.0¢ 4.5¢ -45.5¢ 7.0¢
What countries will hold referenda on leaving the EU? — ItalyKXEUREF-30-ITA 50.0¢ 4.5¢ -45.5¢ 7.1¢
Prime Minister of Greece after the next election? — Alexis TsiprasKXGREEKPM-27JUL25-ATSI 49.5¢ 4.5¢ -45.0¢ 7.0¢
Ferrari total car shipments in 2026 — Above 14100KXRACEA-28JANSHIP-14100 51.0¢ 6.0¢ -45.0¢ 8.0¢
Toast total locations in 2026 — Above 204 thousandKXTOSTA-28JANLOC-204000 53.0¢ 8.5¢ -44.5¢ 9.0¢
Toast total locations in 2026 — Above 207 thousandKXTOSTA-28JANLOC-207000 51.5¢ 7.0¢ -44.5¢ 8.0¢
Sports Illustrated Swimsuit Issue 2027: Cover model — Martha StewartKXMEDIACOVERSI-27-MAR 51.0¢ 6.5¢ -44.5¢ 3.0¢
Next government of the United Kingdom? — Labour, Liberal Democrat, and Green coalitionKXUKCOALITION-30JAN01-LLG 51.1¢ 6.8¢ -44.3¢ 6.5¢
Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026 — Above 780 thousandKXCVNAA-28JANUNITS-780000 50.0¢ 94.0¢ +44.0¢ 6.0¢

Largest recent trades

The biggest single fills to print recently, each at least $500 of notional, with the side the taker bought. Auto-generated multi-leg markets are excluded because their size is a structural artifact. Size is not edge: a large trade can be a hedge, an exit, or conviction that turns out to be wrong.

MarketSidePriceContractsNotionalTime
Kamilla Rakhimova winsKXWTAMATCH-26SEP20RAKKUD-RAK YES 58.0¢ 5,950 $3,451 1:26 AM
Kamilla Rakhimova winsKXWTAMATCH-26SEP20RAKKUD-RAK YES 58.0¢ 4,815 $2,793 1:26 AM
Polina Kudermetova winsKXWTAMATCH-26SEP20RAKKUD-KUD NO 58.0¢ 4,107 $2,382 1:26 AM
Bitcoin price on Sep 21, 2026?KXBTCD-26SEP2117-T80249.99 YES 93.0¢ 2,000 $1,860 1:26 AM
BTC price up in next 15 mins?KXBTC15M-26SEP210430-30 YES 99.4¢ 1,818 $1,807 1:26 AM
Kamilla Rakhimova winsKXWTAMATCH-26SEP20RAKKUD-RAK YES 58.0¢ 2,705 $1,569 1:26 AM
Gold price up in next 15 mins?KXGOLD15M-26SEP210430-30 YES 94.2¢ 1,548 $1,458 1:26 AM
Kamilla Rakhimova winsKXWTAMATCH-26SEP20RAKKUD-RAK YES 55.0¢ 2,523 $1,388 1:26 AM
Kamilla Rakhimova winsKXWTAMATCH-26SEP20RAKKUD-RAK YES 58.0¢ 2,016 $1,169 1:26 AM
Dayeon Back winsKXWTAMATCH-26SEP20YUABAC-BAC NO 55.0¢ 1,895 $1,042 1:26 AM

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How to read this page

The YES column is a probability, not a price tag

Every Kalshi contract settles at $1 or $0, so a 62¢ YES mid means the market is currently pricing roughly a 62% chance. The spread next to it is the gap between the best bid and the best ask, and it is the honesty check on that number: tight means the price is contested and trustworthy, wide means the mid is mostly an average of two guesses.

Volume tells you where the crowd is, not who is right

24-hour volume is the count of contracts that actually changed hands today. High volume means easier fills and tighter spreads — and usually sharper competition, because the busiest markets tend to be the most efficiently priced ones. It carries no information about direction.

A move is a quote delta

The moves table compares the current mid against Kalshi's previous quote for the same market. News moves prices, but so does one trader lifting a thin offer. Before treating any of it as meaningful, check the spread column and the volume behind it.

What this page will never do

It will not rank markets by expected profit, name a market to trade, or publish a record. Whether a price is wrong is a judgment only you can make, against your own estimate, after Kalshi's fees. Anyone selling a daily list of winners is selling content, not an edge — if they had one, publishing it would be the worst way to use it. Our fee calculator covers the cost side of that arithmetic.

Where the numbers come from

Kalshi's public, keyless market API — the same read-only feed behind our other free scanners. It is read-only and unauthenticated: this page never signs a request, never places an order, and reports the exchange rather than anything happening inside our own product. Every figure is refreshed at most once a minute and shared across all visitors, which is why the "as of" stamp above is the time the data was pulled rather than the moment you loaded the page.