Bot for KalshiWhat's moving on Kalshi today
Looking for Kalshi picks? There are none here, and that is deliberate. What this page has instead is the exchange itself: the markets traders actually traded in the last 24 hours, the ones repricing right now, and the largest single trades to cross the tape. Read straight from Kalshi's public feed and rendered into this page, so the numbers below are the numbers, not a forecast built on top of them.
Market data, not trading advice.
Most-traded markets today
Open markets that traded at least 250 contracts in the last 24 hours, with a spread no wider than 15¢. Volume is a fact about where the crowd is, not a claim about who is right.
Kalshi publishes contract counts, not dollars, so the money column is an estimate: 24-hour contracts × the current mid price. It is an approximation — a market that moved during the day is valued here at where it ended up, not at what each fill actually paid.
Ranked by estimated dollar volume
| Market | YES | Spread | 24h contracts | Est. 24h $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will be the next Speaker of the House? — Hakeem JeffriesKXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF | 93.2¢ | 1.1¢ | 144,071 | $134,274 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Robert PattinsonKXBOND-30-ROB | 33.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 49,624 | $16,624 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2027KXCEONVDA-01JAN33-01JAN27 | 15.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 77,721 | $12,047 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Callum TurnerKXBOND-30-CAL | 27.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 37,401 | $10,285 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack LowdenKXBOND-30-JAC | 34.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 26,802 | $9,247 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jul 1, 2027KXCEONVDA-01JAN33-01JUL27 | 27.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 9,557 | $2,628 |
| When will any company achieve AGI? — Before Oct 1, 2028KXAGICO-COMP-28Q3 | 62.0¢ | 2.0¢ | 4,000 | $2,480 |
| Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — AnthropicKXOAIANTH-40-ANTH | 94.0¢ | 4.0¢ | 2,020 | $1,899 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2028KXCEONVDA-01JAN33-01JAN28 | 32.5¢ | 3.0¢ | 5,031 | $1,635 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Josh O'ConnorKXBOND-30-JOS | 23.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 6,217 | $1,461 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2029KXCEONVDA-01JAN33-01JAN29 | 42.0¢ | 6.0¢ | 2,246 | $943 |
| When will Texas enact a state income tax? — Before 2030KXTXINCOMETAX-30JAN01-30JAN01 | 21.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 3,715 | $799 |
Ranked by raw contract count
The exchange's own "most traded" ordering, kept here because it is what the phrase literally means. Contracts priced near a penny can top it on count alone while representing very little money, which is why the dollar estimate leads this page.
| Market | YES | Spread | 24h contracts | Est. 24h $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will be the next Speaker of the House? — Hakeem JeffriesKXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF | 93.2¢ | 1.1¢ | 144,071 | $134,274 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jan 1, 2027KXCEONVDA-01JAN33-01JAN27 | 15.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 77,721 | $12,047 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Robert PattinsonKXBOND-30-ROB | 33.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 49,624 | $16,624 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Callum TurnerKXBOND-30-CAL | 27.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 37,401 | $10,285 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack LowdenKXBOND-30-JAC | 34.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 26,802 | $9,247 |
| Who will be the next Speaker of the House? — Joe NeguseKXNEXTSPEAKER-31-JNEG | 2.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 10,360 | $259 |
| When will Jensen Huang leave as Nvidia CEO? — Before Jul 1, 2027KXCEONVDA-01JAN33-01JUL27 | 27.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 9,557 | $2,628 |
| 2030 FIFA World Cup Champion — ParaguayKXWC-30-PAR | 0.3¢ | 0.2¢ | 6,294 | $19 |
| When will P vs NP be resolved? — Before 2028KXPNP-32-28JAN01 | 6.5¢ | 3.0¢ | 6,258 | $407 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Josh O'ConnorKXBOND-30-JOS | 23.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 6,217 | $1,461 |
| Who will be the next Speaker of the House? — Jim JordanKXNEXTSPEAKER-31-JJOR | 0.2¢ | 0.1¢ | 6,193 | $12 |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Theo JamesKXBOND-30-THEO | 3.5¢ | 1.0¢ | 5,951 | $208 |
Biggest price moves right now
Markets whose mid price has moved at least 4¢ against Kalshi's previous quote. That is a quote-to-quote change, not a day-over-day close, and a move is a price delta — never a validated signal. Thin, wide books are filtered out because their "mid" is guesswork.
| Market | Was | Now | Change | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the National Popular Vote compact reach 270 electoral votes? — Before 2030KXECCOMPACT-30 | 62.5¢ | 37.5¢ | -25.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| Will the National Popular Vote compact reach 270 electoral votes? — Before 2034KXECCOMPACT-30-34 | 68.5¢ | 43.5¢ | -25.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election? — Avigdor LiebermanKXISRDEFMIN-30-ALIE | 35.5¢ | 11.5¢ | -24.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? — Gadi EisenkotKXNEXTISRAELPM-45JAN01-GEIS | 82.5¢ | 69.5¢ | -13.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election? — Israel KatzKXISRDEFMIN-30-IKAT | 19.0¢ | 6.0¢ | -13.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved? — Before 2030KXYANGMILLS-32-30JAN01 | 45.5¢ | 58.0¢ | +12.5¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack LowdenKXBOND-30-JAC | 22.5¢ | 34.5¢ | +12.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Callum TurnerKXBOND-30-CAL | 38.5¢ | 27.5¢ | -11.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Will the National Popular Vote compact reach 270 electoral votes? — Before 2028KXECCOMPACT-30-28 | 34.5¢ | 23.5¢ | -11.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Grand Theft Auto VI: Songs on radio at launch — Blinding LightsKXGTA6SONGS-30-BLI | 49.5¢ | 40.5¢ | -9.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
Largest recent trades
The biggest single fills to print recently, each at least $500 of notional, with the side the taker bought. Auto-generated multi-leg markets are excluded because their size is a structural artifact. Size is not edge: a large trade can be a hedge, an exit, or conviction that turns out to be wrong.
| Market | Side | Price | Contracts | Notional | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC price up in next 15 mins?KXBTC15M-26NOV090900-00 | YES | 90.0¢ | 2,986 | $2,687 | 5:53 AM |
| BTC price up in next 15 mins?KXBTC15M-26NOV090900-00 | YES | 89.0¢ | 2,984 | $2,656 | 5:53 AM |
| Will Borna Gojo win set 1 in the Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo matchKXATPSETWINNER-26NOV09MACGOJ-1-GOJ | YES | 74.0¢ | 2,954 | $2,186 | 5:53 AM |
| Maria Clara Souza winsKXITFWMATCH-26NOV09SOUGOM-SOU | NO | 99.0¢ | 1,374 | $1,360 | 5:53 AM |
| BTC price up in next 15 mins?KXBTC15M-26NOV090900-00 | YES | 90.0¢ | 1,500 | $1,350 | 5:53 AM |
| BTC price up in next 15 mins?KXBTC15M-26NOV090900-00 | YES | 86.0¢ | 1,335 | $1,148 | 5:53 AM |
| BTC price up in next 15 mins?KXBTC15M-26NOV090900-00 | YES | 89.0¢ | 1,000 | $890 | 5:53 AM |
| BTC price up in next 15 mins?KXBTC15M-26NOV090900-00 | YES | 89.0¢ | 1,000 | $890 | 5:53 AM |
| BTC price up in next 15 mins?KXBTC15M-26NOV090900-00 | YES | 89.0¢ | 1,000 | $890 | 5:53 AM |
| BTC price up in next 15 mins?KXBTC15M-26NOV090900-00 | YES | 90.0¢ | 956 | $860 | 5:53 AM |
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How to read this page
The YES column is a probability, not a price tag
Every Kalshi contract settles at $1 or $0, so a 62¢ YES mid means the market is currently pricing roughly a 62% chance. The spread next to it is the gap between the best bid and the best ask, and it is the honesty check on that number: tight means the price is contested and trustworthy, wide means the mid is mostly an average of two guesses.
Volume tells you where the crowd is, not who is right
24-hour volume is the count of contracts that actually changed hands today. High volume means easier fills and tighter spreads — and usually sharper competition, because the busiest markets tend to be the most efficiently priced ones. It carries no information about direction.
A move is a quote delta
The moves table compares the current mid against Kalshi's previous quote for the same market. News moves prices, but so does one trader lifting a thin offer. Before treating any of it as meaningful, check the spread column and the volume behind it.
What this page will never do
It will not rank markets by expected profit, name a market to trade, or publish a record. Whether a price is wrong is a judgment only you can make, against your own estimate, after Kalshi's fees. Anyone selling a daily list of winners is selling content, not an edge — if they had one, publishing it would be the worst way to use it. Our fee calculator covers the cost side of that arithmetic.
Where the numbers come from
Kalshi's public, keyless market API — the same read-only feed behind our other free scanners. It is read-only and unauthenticated: this page never signs a request, never places an order, and reports the exchange rather than anything happening inside our own product. Every figure is refreshed at most once a minute and shared across all visitors, which is why the "as of" stamp above is the time the data was pulled rather than the moment you loaded the page.
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